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South Africa Judgment

North Gauteng High Court, Pretoria

P.N obo K.N.N v Road Accident Fund (2020/27135) [2025] ZAGPPHC 759 (28 July 2025)

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01

Holding and result

The court found that the expert predictions regarding K's academic and career progression lacked sufficient factual basis, particularly the assumption that he would achieve a qualification higher than his parents. The court noted the statistical improbability of such progression in the South African context, referencing recent research. In the absence of contrary evidence from the defendant, the court accepted the expert opinions but applied a higher contingency deduction to future uninjured earnings to account for the uncertainties. The court rejected the plaintiff's preference for the higher actuarial scenario, instead averaging the two scenarios presented. The contingency deduction on injured earnings was reduced, given that the actuary had already assumed no career progression post-injury. The court calculated the net loss and ordered payment accordingly, with further protection of the minor's capital via a trust.

Court disposition

Plaintiff's claim for future loss of earnings is upheld; quantum determined and orders granted as set out.

Orders

  • The defendant shall pay the plaintiff R 3 964 362.10 in respect of the claim for loss of earnings.
  • The amount shall be paid into the account of MHP Malesa Attorneys as specified.
  • If the defendant fails to pay within 180 days, interest at 10.5% per annum will accrue from date of judgment.
  • The capital shall be protected by way of a trust for the benefit of the minor child K; plaintiff's attorney to apply for establishment of the trust within three months.
  • Pending establishment of the trust, the plaintiff's attorneys shall invest the capital in an interest bearing account in terms of section 86(4) of the Legal Practice Act, 2014, and may make reasonable payments for medical care of K.
  • The defendant shall pay all costs associated with the establishment and administration of the trust.
  • The defendant shall deliver an undertaking in terms of section 17(4)(a) of the Road Accident Fund Act, 1996, to pay 100% of the cost of K's future accommodation, treatment, or services related to the injuries sustained.
  • The defendant shall pay the plaintiff's agreed or taxed part and party costs on Scale B, including qualifying and reservation costs of expert witnesses and costs of medico-legal reports.
  • Costs to be paid within 180 days of taxation or agreement, failing which interest at 10.5% per annum will accrue.
  • The issue of general damages is postponed sine die.
  • There is no contingency fee agreement.

02

Material facts

Parties

P.N obo K.N.N

Plaintiff Counsel: Adv. F Sathekge

Road Accident Fund

Defendant

Amounts and remedies

  • Future Loss of Earnings Awarded: ZAR 3,964,362.1

03

Procedural history

  1. Posture

    Civil Trial / Quantum Determination After Liability Conceded

04

Questions and positions

Legal issues

Party arguments

Applicant
The plaintiff contends that, but for the accident, K would have achieved a higher academic qualification (NQF 7) and corresponding career earnings, based on family background and pre-morbid developmental milestones. The plaintiff relies on expert reports to support the predicted career path and quantum, and argues for a 40% contingency deduction on injured earnings due to K's compromised cognitive abilities and limited promotion prospects.
Respondent
The Road Accident Fund did not participate in the trial and provided no evidence or argument to challenge the plaintiff's case or the expert opinions presented.

05

Court’s reasoning

  1. 01

    Road Accident Fund Act, 1996

    Damages for future loss of earnings must be calculated based on the most probable career trajectory, taking into account both pre-morbid potential and post-injury limitations, and must be supported by factual evidence.

  2. 02

    De Rebus (July 2025): Medico-legal educational predictions leave much to be desired

    Contingency deductions are applied to account for uncertainties in future earnings, including academic progression and employment prospects, and must reflect the realities of the South African education system.

  3. 03

    Case law and practice

    Where expert opinion is unchallenged by the defendant, the court may accept such evidence but must still critically assess its factual basis and reasonableness.

06

Ratio, limits and disposition

Ratio decidendi

The court found that the expert predictions regarding K's academic and career progression lacked sufficient factual basis, particularly the assumption that he would achieve a qualification higher than his parents. The court noted the statistical improbability of such progression in the South African context, referencing recent research. In the absence of contrary evidence from the defendant, the court accepted the expert opinions but applied a higher contingency deduction to future uninjured earnings to account for the uncertainties. The court rejected the plaintiff's preference for the higher actuarial scenario, instead averaging the two scenarios presented. The contingency deduction on injured earnings was reduced, given that the actuary had already assumed no career progression post-injury. The court calculated the net loss and ordered payment accordingly, with further protection of the minor's capital via a trust.

Obiter and limits

  • Expert predictions about academic achievement must be grounded in statistical reality and not merely in optimistic assumptions.
  • The challenges faced by learners in the South African education system must be factored into medico-legal assessments of future earning capacity.
  • Where the defendant fails to participate or challenge expert evidence, the court must nonetheless scrutinize the factual basis of such evidence.

Court disposition

Plaintiff's claim for future loss of earnings is upheld; quantum determined and orders granted as set out.

  • The defendant shall pay the plaintiff R 3 964 362.10 in respect of the claim for loss of earnings.
  • The amount shall be paid into the account of MHP Malesa Attorneys as specified.
  • If the defendant fails to pay within 180 days, interest at 10.5% per annum will accrue from date of judgment.
  • The capital shall be protected by way of a trust for the benefit of the minor child K; plaintiff's attorney to apply for establishment of the trust within three months.
  • Pending establishment of the trust, the plaintiff's attorneys shall invest the capital in an interest bearing account in terms of section 86(4) of the Legal Practice Act, 2014, and may make reasonable payments for medical care of K.
  • The defendant shall pay all costs associated with the establishment and administration of the trust.
  • The defendant shall deliver an undertaking in terms of section 17(4)(a) of the Road Accident Fund Act, 1996, to pay 100% of the cost of K's future accommodation, treatment, or services related to the injuries sustained.
  • The defendant shall pay the plaintiff's agreed or taxed part and party costs on Scale B, including qualifying and reservation costs of expert witnesses and costs of medico-legal reports.
  • Costs to be paid within 180 days of taxation or agreement, failing which interest at 10.5% per annum will accrue.
  • The issue of general damages is postponed sine die.
  • There is no contingency fee agreement.

Source and reliance status

North Gauteng High Court, Pretoria

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Judgment text

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Source document

North Gauteng High Court, Pretoria

Judgment

[2025] ZAGPPHC 759

SAFLII Note: Certain personal/private details of parties or witnesses have been redacted from this document in compliance with the law and SAFLII Policy

IN THE HIGH COURT OF

SOUTH AFRICA

GAUTENG DIVISION,

PRETORIA

Case number: 2020/27135

Date of hearing: Considered in chambers

Date delivered: 28 July 2025

(1) REPORTABLE: YES/NO

(2) OF INTEREST TO OTHERS JUDGES: YES/NO

(3)

REVISED

DATE: 28/7/25

SIGNATURE

In the application between:

P[...] N[...] obo

K[...] N[...] N[...]

Plaintiff

and

THE

ROAD ACCIDENT

FUND

Defendant

JUDGMENT

SWANEPOEL J:

[1] This matter first came before me on 14 June 2024. Having considered the papers, I indicated to the plaintiff’s counsel that I was not satisfied with the report of the educational psychologist, inasmuch as the plaintiff’s school reports were lacking, and consequently I postponed the matter sine die for a supplementary report. The report was filed on 7 May 2025, and I have been asked to consider the matter in chambers without further argument from the plaintiff’s counsel.

[2] The plaintiff claims damages on behalf of her son, K, who is now almost 11 years old, pursuant to an accident that occurred on 30 July 2017. At that time K was two years and eleven months old. The defendant is the Road Accident Fund. It has acknowledged liability for 100% of the damages suffered by K. The matter is thus before me for consideration of the quantum of K’s damages for loss of income. As has become usual in many of these matters, the defendant has not participated in the trial.

[3] The accident happened at approximately 06h40 in Carolina, when K’s father lost control of the car in which they were travelling. It overturned and in the process K suffered a head injury. There are allegations that K suffered a leg injury, or perhaps injuries to both legs, but those allegations are contradicted by the X-ray reports and the hospital records. In any event, there is no averment made that K’s income earning capacity has in any manner been affected by a leg injury, and it is only the head injury that is relevant to the matter before me.

[4] K lost consciousness during the accident, and upon admission to hospital he was reported to be drowsy with a GCS of 12/15. Some two hours later his GCS had recovered to 15/15. A CT-scan showed that he had suffered a right parietal bone displaced fracture, and a Grade 1 subarachnoid haemorrhage. He was treated conservatively and discharged five days later.

[5] Subsequently, K suffers from headaches that are treated with analgesics. He has emotional difficulties and has undergone a personality change. He suffers from a measure of short-term memory loss and enuresis.

[6] The educational psychologist, Dr. Segabutle, reports that before the accident K had attained all of his developmental milestones within normal ranges. Post-morbid, K is short-tempered, angry and he cries easily. The clinical psychologist, Ms. Mqhayi, reports that K suffers from impaired complex attention and mental speed. He demonstrates moderate neurocognitive impairments. He is unlikely to recover any further.

[7] K’s latest school reports show that he performs adequately, and in some subjects he performs above his grade level. However, I accept that as K promotes to higher grades, his cognitive impairment will affect his scholastic performance, and he will progressively struggle more and more. Currently, K is assisted by a tutor in those subjects with which he struggles.

[8] The fact that K was a toddler when the accident occurred makes is difficult to predict his possible career path. Both his parents attained a Grade 12 qualification and both achieved tertiary qualifications. Dr Matlala, the initial educational psychologist, pointed out that the family and home environment is the primary factor in shaping a person’s potential. She opined that children generally achieve higher qualifications than their parents. Given that K was a normal child pre-accident, and had achieved all of his developmental milestones, she postulated that he would have passed Grade 12 and would have achieved an NQF 7 qualification. Given his cognitive deficits, she postulated that K would now only achieve an NQF 6 qualification.

[9] Having considered the report of the industrial psychologist the actuary considered two uninjured scenarios. The first is that K would have attained an NQF 7 qualification, and would have entered the job market at age 23 at an income of R 298 000 per annum, increasing to age 45 at level D1/D2 (basic median) in the sum of R 814 000 per annum, remaining constant thereafter until retirement at age 65. The second scenario is essentially the same, save that it is postulated that K would have attained a ceiling of R 1 194 000 per annum at level D1/D2 (Package median).

[10] In the injured scenario, the actuary calculated that K would now commence employment at age 23 having achieved an NQF 6 level qualification, at an income of R 241 500 which would remain constant until retirement at age 65. The plaintiff justifies the lack of growth of the post-accident income on the grounds that K would be a compromised and vulnerable employee who would most likely be overlooked for promotion as a result of his cognitive difficulties.

[11] The plaintiff argues that K’s pre-morbid income, based on Scenario 2, would have amounted to R 10 389 885, without justifying why that scenario is preferable to scenario 1, which predicts an income of R 7 987 343. Now that the accident has occurred, K’s income is predicted to be R 3 658 873.

[12] I have some difficulty with the plaintiff’s case. Firstly, although I have often heard the opinion of experts that in general children perform better academically than their parents, it is exceedingly difficult to predict the possible academic progression of a toddler. There are many unpredictable factors that could possibly have an influence on K’s academic and career progression. The scenarios postulated by the experts depend upon K progressing academically, completing Grade 12, being able to obtain funding for tertiary education, etc, and many other exigencies of life.

[13] It has struck me in the past that the experts’ glib assertion that the child will achieve higher qualifications than the parents ignores the challenges faced by young people in our society in general, but more especially with the education system.

[14] My reservations as to the correctness of this theory were confirmed by an article published recently in the De Rebus magazine.[1] The authors demonstrate that 84.7% of learners do not achieve a qualification higher than NQF 4. That means that only a relatively small percentage of learners achieve higher than NQF level 4, and only 5.9% achieve a degree qualification. The question in each case should be: what differentiates this particular child from the average, and why do the experts say that this particular child was likely to have achieved a degree?

[15] In this case the experts have provided no factual basis to support their postulation. However, there is nothing from the defendant to gainsay their opinion. It is my view that one should factor in the fact that generally not than many learners achieve a degree, and I propose to deal with this aspect by the application of a higher contingency deduction in respect of the postulated future uninjured earnings.

[16] Furthermore, there is no factual justification for the application of scenario 2 instead of scenario 1. Therefore, I intend to calculate the loss on an average between the two scenarios. Finally, the plaintiff has suggested that a 40% contingency deduction be applied to the injured income. In light of the fact that the actuary has already postulated that K will not progress in his career at all, and would reach maximum income at age 23, I find the application of a 40% contingency deduction on the injured income to be excessive.

[17] Consequently, I calculate the plaintiff’s loss as follows:

UNINJURED

INJURED

LOSS

FUTURE LOSS 9 188 614 3 658 873

LESS

CONTINGENCIES 25%: 2 297 153.50 20% 731 774.60 NET 6 891 460.50 2 927 098.40

TOTAL 3 964 362.10

[18] I make the following order:

[18.1] The defendant shall pay the plaintiff R 3 964 362.10 (three million nine hundred and sixty four thousand three hundred and sixty two rand, ten cents) in respect of the plaintiff’s claim for loss of earnings.

[18.2] The aforesaid amount shall be paid to the following account:

MHP

MALESA ATTORNEYS

FIRST NATIONAL BANK ACCOUNT NO: 6[...], branch code 2[...]

RAF reference: R[...]

[18.3] If the defendant fails to pay the aforesaid amount within 180 days of this order interest will run on the outstanding amount at the rate of 10.5% per annum from date of judgment to date of payment.

[18.4] The capital shall be protected by way of a trust, for the benefit of the minor child K, and the plaintiff’s attorney is ordered to apply to this court within three months for an order establishing the trust.

[18.5] Pending the establishment of the trust, the plaintiff’s attorneys, Messrs MHP Malesa Attorneys, shall invest the capital in an interest bearing account in terms of section 86 (4) of the Legal Practice Act, 2014, and shall retain such monies in the account until the trust referred to above has been established, save that the plaintiff’s attorney may make reasonable payments to the plaintiff for medical care of the minor child K.

[18.6] The defendant shall pay all costs associated with the establishment and administration of the trust, including, but not limited to the setting of security by the trustee and the costs of the application to establish the trust.

[18.7] The defendant shall deliver an undertaking in terms of section 17 (4) (a) of the Road Accident Fund Act, 1996, to the plaintiff within 14 (fourteen) days wherein the defendant undertakes to pay to the plaintiff 100% of the cost of K’s future accommodation in a hospital or a nursing home or treatment or rendering of a service or supplying of goods to the plaintiff, in respect of the injuries sustained by the minor child K in the motor vehicle accident that occurred on 30 July 2017, after the costs have been incurred and upon proof thereof.

[18.8] The defendant shall pay the plaintiff’s agreed or taxed part and party costs on Scale B, which costs shall include the qualifying and reservation costs of the plaintiff’s expert witnesses, as well as the costs of the preparation of medico legal reports.

[18.9] The defendant shall pay the costs within 180 days from the date upon which the accounts are taxed by the taxing master, or agreed upon by the parties (“the due date”), failing which the costs shall attract interest at the rate of 10.5% per annum calculated from the due date until date of payment.

[18.10] The issue of general damages is postponed sine die.

[18.11] There is no contingency fee agreement.

SWANEPOEL J

JUDGE OF THE HIGH

COURT

GAUTENG

DIVISION PRETORIA

Counsel for the applicant: Adv. F Sathekge Instructed by: MP Malesa Attorneys Heard: In chambers Judgment on: 28 July 2025

[1] De Rebus (July 2025): Medico-legal educational predictions leave much to be desired, Prof. R Tabane, Mr. A Baron, Prof. H Lern, Mr D Berndt

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Authorities

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Cases, legislation, regulations, and constitutional provisions identified in the available record.

Road Accident Fund Act, 1996

Legislation

Legislation referenced in the available case record.

Legal Practice Act, 2014

Legislation

Legislation referenced in the available case record.

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